Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 7.171654 8.387951 9.721864 11.289832 13.078777 15.052432 17.390839
2026-02-08 4.884205 6.450053 8.353693 10.821628 13.917862 17.653609 22.479673
2026-02-15 3.594468 5.238974 7.410359 10.450257 14.552479 19.846646 27.137124
2026-02-22 2.966510 4.691691 7.128918 10.758645 15.947618 23.004724 33.211608
2026-03-01 2.522091 4.287372 6.933222 11.089536 17.330059 26.199286 39.560628
2026-03-08 2.029797 3.702406 6.356962 10.744788 17.644754 27.861996 43.844160
2026-03-15 1.669356 3.253176 5.904221 10.496176 18.026928 29.597245 48.312869
2026-03-22 1.518159 3.129955 5.951855 11.034635 19.665000 33.331786 56.049607
2026-03-29 1.363372 2.969250 5.905565 11.396021 21.030810 36.728370 63.495362
2026-04-05 1.185874 2.730837 5.682378 11.411699 21.799417 39.204031 69.630584
2026-04-12 1.020267 2.483986 5.404404 11.285270 22.291890 41.238571 75.162446
2026-04-19 0.862010 2.221191 5.054732 10.974359 22.408637 42.622937 79.674724
2026-04-26 0.720552 1.977220 4.726581 10.704924 22.652521 44.385713 85.227933
2026-05-03 0.585478 1.719387 4.331504 10.257077 22.529293 45.525171 89.868570
2026-05-10 0.481120 1.510900 4.005945 9.902765 22.540447 46.899082 95.028943
2026-05-17 0.433967 1.440754 3.983415 10.196715 23.885589 50.874340 105.247352
2026-05-24 0.393824 1.380044 3.972344 10.512209 25.303049 55.093434 116.215224
2026-05-31 0.327639 1.225280 3.700056 10.183492 25.304732 56.528311 121.961064
2026-06-07 0.276185 1.100611 3.480919 9.946477 25.473414 58.297367 128.465340
2026-06-14 0.260531 1.088469 3.561719 10.459855 27.381357 63.766374 142.667737
2026-06-21 0.240081 1.054449 3.575713 10.804483 28.931944 68.599312 155.893012
2026-06-28 0.211517 0.982990 3.469133 10.819435 29.706044 71.839331 166.066143
2026-07-05 0.182996 0.902524 3.320234 10.698861 30.138617 74.369037 174.921835